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IMF-从外层空间衡量季度经济增长(英)-2022.6

# 外层空间 # 季度经济增长 大小:4.07M | 页数:45 | 上架时间:2022-06-10 | 语言:英文

IMF-从外层空间衡量季度经济增长(英)-2022.6.pdf

IMF-从外层空间衡量季度经济增长(英)-2022.6.pdf

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类型: 宏观

上传者: GHY-s

撰写机构: IMF

出版日期: 2022-06-04

摘要:

This paper presents a novel framework to estimate the elasticity between nighttime lights and quarterly economic activity. The relationship is identified by accounting for varying degrees of measurement errors in nighttime light data across countries. The estimated elasticity is 1.55 for emerging markets and developing economies, ranging from 1.36 to 1.81 across country groups and robust to different model specifications. The paper uses a light-adjusted measure of quarterly economic activity to show that higher levels of development, statistical capacity, and voice and accountability are associated with more precise national accounts data. The elasticity allows quantification of subnational economic impacts. During the COVID-19 pandemic, regions with higher levels of development and population density experienced larger declines in economic activity.

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