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IMF-作为最后贷款人的中央银行:对监管和储备持有的影响(英)-2023.1

# 最后贷款人 # 中央银行 # 储备 大小:1.15M | 页数:61 | 上架时间:2023-02-06 | 语言:英文

IMF-作为最后贷款人的中央银行:对监管和储备持有的影响(英)-2023.1.pdf

IMF-作为最后贷款人的中央银行:对监管和储备持有的影响(英)-2023.1.pdf

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类型: 专题

上传者: 范泽林

撰写机构: IMF

出版日期: 2023-02-06

摘要:

This paper explores how non-U.S. central banks behave when firms in their economies engage in currency mismatch, borrowing more heavily in dollars than justified by their operating exposures. We begin by documenting that, in a panel of 53 countries, central bank holdings of dollar reserves are significantly correlated with the dollar-denominated bank borrowing of their non-financial corporate sectors, controlling for a number of known covariates of reserve accumulation. We then build a model in which the central bank can deal with private-sector mismatch, and the associated risk of a domestic financial crisis, in two ways: (i) by imposing ex ante financial regulations such as bank capital requirements; or (ii) by building a stockpile of dollar reserves that allow it to serve as an ex post dollar lender of last resort. The model highlights a novel externality: individual central banks may tend to over-accumulate dollar reserves, relative to what a global planner would choose. This is because individual central banks do not internalize that their hoarding of reserves exacerbates a global scarcity of dollar-denominated safe assets, which lowers dollar interest rates and encourages firms to increase the currency mismatch of their liabilities. Relative to the decentralized outcome, a global planner may prefer stricter financial regulation (e.g., higher bank capital requirements) and reduced holdings of dollar reserves.

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