Traditional strategy assumes stability and predictability. Today's world is better characterised by turbulence, uncertainty, novelty and ambiguity - conditions that contribute disruptive changes and trigger the search for new ways of coping.

This book aims to become the premier guide on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. Co-authored by three experts in the field, the book presents The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA). The approach is both intellectually rigorous and practical. Methodological choices and theoretical aspects in practice are detailed in reference to the relevant literatures and grounded in 6 case studies the authors have been involved with.

The book makes several contributions to the field, centred on how learning with scenario planning is supported by re-framing and re-perception; how this iterative process can be embedded in corporate or government settings, and how it helps those that it supports to do well in today's world.

The book is written in an accessible style and will be a useful introductory text as well as a useful guide for the more experienced scenario planning practitioner and scholar.

传统的战略假设稳定性和可预测性。当今世界的特点是动荡、不确定、新奇和模棱两可——这些情况会带来破坏性的变化，并引发人们寻找新的应对方式。
这本书的目的是成为如何做情景规划，以支持战略和公共政策的首要指南。该书由该领域的三位专家合著，介绍了牛津情景规划方法（OSPA）。这种方法在智力上既严谨又实用。本文在查阅相关文献的基础上，结合作者参与的6个案例，详细阐述了研究方法的选择和实践中的理论问题。
这本书对该领域做出了一些贡献，主要集中在如何通过重新构建和重新感知来支持情景规划学习；如何将这个迭代过程嵌入到企业或政府环境中，以及它如何帮助它所支持的人在当今世界中做好工作。
这本书是写在一个可访问的风格，将是一个有用的介绍性文本，以及一个更有经验的场景规划从业者和学者有用的指南。