We surveyed 25 US veterinarians who treat a total of ~65,000 dogs and ~29,000 cats on various topics relevant for the industry, including trends and expectations for diagnostics, parasiticide, dermatology, and pain markets.
Overall market dynamics remain healthy: Veterinarians are expecting to treat more dogs, run more tests and earn more money per visit in 2021
Veterinarians expect to treat more dogs (+9% YoY) and run more diagnostic tests (+6% YoY) in 2021.
Revenue per visit increased for most practices through the pandemic (+13% YoY in 2020), driven by higher diagnostic utilization and standard of care. Veterinarians see these trends persisting and expect revenue per visit to increase in 2021 (+11% YoY).
Positive: ZTS, IDXX, ELAN, HSKA
Parasiticide market dynamics:. Significant share gains ahead for oral products, ~35% of dogs still aren’t getting complete parasiticide coverage
Unsurprisingly, most veterinarians favor newer-gen oral products and expect orals to continue gaining share in their practices over time (~68% in 2019 to ~85% in 2025) at the expense of both topicals and collars (which at this point are increasingly sold through non-vet channels).
Veterinarians estimate ~10% of dogs won’t have any parasiticide coverage in 2021 and another ~25% only partial coverage, suggesting room for the parasiticide market to expand over time.
Positive: ZTS
Neutral/Negative: ELAN
Simparica Trio: Very positive vet feedback thus far, participants see the product capturing ~40% of the oral parasiticide market by 2023 (vs ~17% of the dogs in their practice today).
On the flea & tick (or flea & worm) side of the market, veterinarians see Simparica Trio take share from Bravecto, Trifexis and NexGard, with more limited impact on Credelio (low starting share).
On the worm side of the market, veterinarians see a role for both Simparica Trio and ProHeart 12 with ZTS share coming primarily from HeartGard, followed by Interceptor Plus and TriHeart.
Veterinarians see limited Simparica cannibalization, with only ~10% of Simparica Trio use coming from past Simparica users.
While use of Trio was above overall market averages, survey results suggest a continued strong ramp for the product going forward
Positive: ZTS
Neutral/Negative: ELAN
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